How it works
Transparent sports modelling, without promises
2SURETIPS publishes football and basketball probabilities from versioned statistical models and tracks every published selection against completed results.
First-release model status
The prediction engine is undergoing live accuracy validation
The models use conservative probability thresholds, frozen pre-event forecasts and transparent result grading, but their long-term calibration and performance are not yet proven. Treat every forecast as an estimate, exercise caution, and use the accuracy tracker to follow the evidence as the sample grows.
As more match results are graded, we will use the tracker to identify calibration gaps, compare sports and model versions, and improve the prediction engine without rewriting previously published forecasts.
1 · Source
Fixtures and team performance statistics are retrieved from API-Sports and cached to control usage.
2 · Model
Football uses a shrinkage-adjusted Poisson score model. Basketball combines expected points, venue splits and win-rate ratings.
3 · Explain
OpenAI may turn structured outputs into readable context. It cannot alter probabilities or manufacture a model selection.
Check back before football kickoff
Football injuries, suspensions and confirmed line-ups are checked closer to kickoff. When verified absences are available, the site shows a separate adjusted forecast while preserving the original published prediction. Check the match page again near kickoff for the latest availability-informed view.
Some late news, motivation and unusual match conditions may still be unavailable. A probability expresses uncertainty honestly—it is not a guarantee.