Inter vs Udinese prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 19:45
Final result
Inter 5–3 Udinese
Prediction published 14 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 14 Sep 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Inter
D. Spence Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
D. Spence Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Udinese
J. Arizala Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.3%
M. Palma Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.8%
J. Piotrowski Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 3.5%
O. Solet Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 4.3%
N. Zaniolo Attacker
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 2.5%
A. Zanoli Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
J. Arizala Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.3%
M. Palma Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.8%
J. Piotrowski Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 3.5%
O. Solet Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 4.3%
N. Zaniolo Attacker
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 2.5%
A. Zanoli Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
58% 67%
Draw
20% 17%
Away
22% 16%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 46.7% · edge +18.3 pts · odds 2
Won
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 62.5% · edge +6.5 pts · odds 1.5
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Inter played Udinese. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 58% to Inter, 20% to a draw and 22% to Udinese.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Inter have a 58% chance of winning. Draw probability is 20%. Udinese have a 22% chance. Frozen selections: BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals.