Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 19:45
Final result
Sassuolo 3–2 Juventus
Prediction published 13 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 13 Sep 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Sassuolo
D. Boloca Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
F. Cande Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
I. Kone Unknown
Missing Fixture · Broken Leg · impact 0%
Y. Paz Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
E. Pieragnolo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
C. Volpato Attacker
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 4%
S. Walukiewicz Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
D. Boloca Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
F. Cande Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
I. Kone Unknown
Missing Fixture · Broken Leg · impact 0%
Y. Paz Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
E. Pieragnolo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
C. Volpato Attacker
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 4%
S. Walukiewicz Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
Juventus
J. Boga Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.7%
J. Cabal Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.2%
J. Ekhator Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
M. Locatelli Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 5.2%
A. Milik Attacker
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 1.2%
K. Thuram Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Yildiz Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Foot Injury · impact 2.2%
A. Cambiaso Defender
Questionable · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
W. McKennie Midfielder
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
J. Boga Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.7%
J. Cabal Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.2%
J. Ekhator Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
M. Locatelli Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 5.2%
A. Milik Attacker
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 1.2%
K. Thuram Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Yildiz Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Foot Injury · impact 2.2%
A. Cambiaso Defender
Questionable · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
W. McKennie Midfielder
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
37% 40%
Draw
26% 28%
Away
37% 32%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 67.3% · edge +6.7 pts · odds 1.4
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Sassuolo played Juventus. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 37% to Sassuolo, 26% to a draw and 37% to Juventus.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Sassuolo have a 37% chance of winning. Draw probability is 26%. Juventus have a 37% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.