Torino vs AS Roma prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 17:30
Final result
Torino 0–2 AS Roma
Prediction published 14 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 14 Sep 2026, 20:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Torino
C. Adams Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 4.3%
C. Casadei Attacker
Missing Fixture · Rest · impact 2.2%
F. Israel Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%
P. Pellegri Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
G. Simeone Attacker
Questionable · Back Injury · impact 0%
C. Adams Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 4.3%
C. Casadei Attacker
Missing Fixture · Rest · impact 2.2%
F. Israel Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%
P. Pellegri Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
G. Simeone Attacker
Questionable · Back Injury · impact 0%
AS Roma
M. Bah Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Bah Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
22% 19%
Draw
22% 22%
Away
56% 59%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 52% · edge +5 pts · odds 1.79
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Torino played AS Roma. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 22% to Torino, 22% to a draw and 56% to AS Roma.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Torino have a 22% chance of winning. Draw probability is 22%. AS Roma have a 56% chance. Frozen selections: BTTS Yes.