AS Roma vs Inter prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 17:00
Final result
AS Roma 2–2 Inter
Prediction published 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Sep 2026, 19:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
AS Roma
M. Bah Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Bah Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Inter
H. Calhanoglu Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 3%
J. Stones Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.2%
D. Spence Unknown
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
H. Calhanoglu Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 3%
J. Stones Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.2%
D. Spence Unknown
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
52% 56%
Draw
25% 24%
Away
23% 20%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
match winner · verified value edge
Home Win
Market 35.7% · edge +16.3 pts · odds 2.68
Lost
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 62.2% · edge +9.8 pts · odds 1.52
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before AS Roma played Inter. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 52% to AS Roma, 25% to a draw and 23% to Inter.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
AS Roma have a 52% chance of winning. Draw probability is 25%. Inter have a 23% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win and Under 3.5 Goals.