Bologna vs Torino prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 14:00
Final result
Bologna 1–1 Torino
Prediction published 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Sep 2026, 16:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Bologna
A. Dovbyk Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.3%
A. Dovbyk Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.3%
Torino
C. Adams Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 3.6%
F. Israel Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%
P. Pellegri Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
C. Casadei Attacker
Questionable · Rest · impact 0%
C. Adams Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 3.6%
F. Israel Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%
P. Pellegri Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
C. Casadei Attacker
Questionable · Rest · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
40% 40%
Draw
25% 26%
Away
35% 34%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 47.1% · edge +6.9 pts · odds 2.02
Lost
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 51.1% · edge +5.9 pts · odds 1.82
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Bologna played Torino. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 40% to Bologna, 25% to a draw and 35% to Torino.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Bologna have a 40% chance of winning. Draw probability is 25%. Torino have a 35% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.