Juventus vs Atalanta prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 17:00
Final result
Juventus 2–0 Atalanta
Prediction published 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 20 Sep 2026, 19:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Juventus
J. Boga Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.3%
J. Cabal Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.2%
J. Ekhator Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Grabara Goalkeeper
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.2%
M. Locatelli Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 4.3%
A. Milik Attacker
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 1.2%
K. Thuram Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Yildiz Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Foot Injury · impact 1.9%
J. Boga Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.3%
J. Cabal Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.2%
J. Ekhator Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Grabara Goalkeeper
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.2%
M. Locatelli Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 4.3%
A. Milik Attacker
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 1.2%
K. Thuram Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Yildiz Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Foot Injury · impact 1.9%
Atalanta
I. Hien Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
O. Kossounou Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 5%
K. Sulemana Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
I. Hien Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
O. Kossounou Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 5%
K. Sulemana Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
57% 51%
Draw
23% 25%
Away
20% 24%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
double chance
Home Win or Draw
Won
total goals
Under 3.5 Goals
Won
match winner
Home Win
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Juventus played Atalanta. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 57% to Juventus, 23% to a draw and 20% to Atalanta.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Juventus have a 57% chance of winning. Draw probability is 23%. Atalanta have a 20% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win or Draw, Under 3.5 Goals and Home Win.