Udinese vs Cagliari prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 14:00
Final result
Udinese 0–1 Cagliari
Prediction published 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Sep 2026, 16:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Udinese
J. Arizala Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.3%
J. Piotrowski Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 2.9%
O. Solet Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 3.5%
M. Palma Defender
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
J. Arizala Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 1.3%
J. Piotrowski Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 2.9%
O. Solet Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 3.5%
M. Palma Defender
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
Cagliari
M. Felici Attacker
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.6%
R. Idrissi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Nzola Unknown
Missing Fixture · Lacking Match Fitness · impact 0%
Y. Trepy Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
M. Felici Attacker
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.6%
R. Idrissi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Nzola Unknown
Missing Fixture · Lacking Match Fitness · impact 0%
Y. Trepy Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
29% 25%
Draw
26% 26%
Away
45% 49%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals
Under 3.5 Goals
Won
double chance
Away Win or Draw
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Udinese played Cagliari. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 29% to Udinese, 26% to a draw and 45% to Cagliari.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Udinese have a 29% chance of winning. Draw probability is 26%. Cagliari have a 45% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals and Away Win or Draw.