Venezia vs Lazio prediction
Serie A
Kickoff: 19:45
Final result
Venezia 0–2 Lazio
Prediction published 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Sep 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Venezia
A. Adorante Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hernia · impact 0%
T. Basic Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Foot Injury · impact 2.8%
A. Bella-Kotchap Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 3.3%
G. Busio Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 4.9%
M. Dagasso Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 1.4%
B. Franjic Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.6%
R. Haps Defender
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 4.1%
M. Sverko Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hip Injury · impact 0%
A. Adorante Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hernia · impact 0%
T. Basic Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Foot Injury · impact 2.8%
A. Bella-Kotchap Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 3.3%
G. Busio Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 4.9%
M. Dagasso Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 1.4%
B. Franjic Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.6%
R. Haps Defender
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 4.1%
M. Sverko Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hip Injury · impact 0%
Lazio
F. Dele-Bashiru Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.8%
A. Furlanetto Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Patric Unknown
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
L. Pellegrini Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
N. Rovella Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.5%
F. Dele-Bashiru Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.8%
A. Furlanetto Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Patric Unknown
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
L. Pellegrini Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
N. Rovella Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.5%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
24% 18%
Draw
23% 22%
Away
53% 60%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
double chance
Away Win or Draw
Won
total goals
Under 3.5 Goals
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Venezia played Lazio. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 24% to Venezia, 23% to a draw and 53% to Lazio.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Venezia have a 24% chance of winning. Draw probability is 23%. Lazio have a 53% chance. Frozen selections: Away Win or Draw and Under 3.5 Goals.