Le Havre vs Angers prediction
Ligue 1
Kickoff: 19:45
Final result
Le Havre 0–0 Angers
Prediction published 12 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 12 Sep 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Le Havre
P. Argney Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
F. Mambimbi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
L. Mpasi-Nzau Goalkeeper
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 5%
J. Mwanga Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Red Card · impact 4.4%
R. Ndiaye Attacker
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 4.4%
T. Pembele Defender
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 4.1%
A. Toure Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
S. Zagadou Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
P. Argney Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
F. Mambimbi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
L. Mpasi-Nzau Goalkeeper
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 5%
J. Mwanga Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Red Card · impact 4.4%
R. Ndiaye Attacker
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 4.4%
T. Pembele Defender
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 4.1%
A. Toure Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
S. Zagadou Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Angers
H. Belkebla Unknown
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 0%
H. Belkebla Unknown
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
31% 21%
Draw
24% 22%
Away
45% 57%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 45.5% · edge +9.5 pts · odds 2.1
Lost
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 52% · edge +6 pts · odds 1.79
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Le Havre played Angers. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 31% to Le Havre, 24% to a draw and 45% to Angers.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Le Havre have a 31% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. Angers have a 45% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.