Lille vs Estac Troyes prediction
Ligue 1
Kickoff: 14:00
Final result
Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes
Prediction published 13 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 13 Sep 2026, 16:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Lille
H. Igamane Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
H. Igamane Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Estac Troyes
I. Boura Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
P. Gozzi Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
M. Ifnaoui Attacker
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 4.5%
A. Phliponeau Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.5%
Y. Titi Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2%
I. Boura Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
P. Gozzi Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
M. Ifnaoui Attacker
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 4.5%
A. Phliponeau Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 1.5%
Y. Titi Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
52% 58%
Draw
23% 21%
Away
25% 21%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 50.1% · edge +9.9 pts · odds 1.86
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Lille played Estac Troyes. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 52% to Lille, 23% to a draw and 25% to Estac Troyes.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Lille have a 52% chance of winning. Draw probability is 23%. Estac Troyes have a 25% chance. Frozen selections: BTTS Yes.