Strasbourg vs Monaco prediction
Ligue 1
Kickoff: 16:15
Final result
Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco
Prediction published 12 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 12 Sep 2026, 19:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Strasbourg
M. Godo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
J. Panichelli Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Godo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
J. Panichelli Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Monaco
F. Balogun Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
M. Coulibaly Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 4.2%
A. Fati Unknown
Missing Fixture · Calf Injury · impact 0%
T. Minamino Unknown
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 0%
J. Teze Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.9%
F. Balogun Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
M. Coulibaly Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 4.2%
A. Fati Unknown
Missing Fixture · Calf Injury · impact 0%
T. Minamino Unknown
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 0%
J. Teze Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.9%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
38% 42%
Draw
26% 26%
Away
36% 32%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 60.2% · edge +10.8 pts · odds 1.57
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Strasbourg played Monaco. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 38% to Strasbourg, 26% to a draw and 36% to Monaco.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Strasbourg have a 38% chance of winning. Draw probability is 26%. Monaco have a 36% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.