Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction
Ligue 1
Kickoff: 14:00
Final result
Auxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
Prediction published 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 20 Sep 2026, 16:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Auxerre
A. Diousse Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
B. Okoh Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Senaya Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
T. Siwe Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
A. Diousse Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
B. Okoh Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Senaya Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
T. Siwe Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.2%
Stade Brestois 29
R. Cagnon Goalkeeper
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 1.2%
B. Chardonnet Unknown
Missing Fixture · Calf Injury · impact 0%
M. Diambou Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 2.5%
N. Edjouma Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.4%
R. Cagnon Goalkeeper
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 1.2%
B. Chardonnet Unknown
Missing Fixture · Calf Injury · impact 0%
M. Diambou Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 2.5%
N. Edjouma Attacker
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 1.4%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
36% 38%
Draw
25% 25%
Away
39% 37%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals
Under 3.5 Goals
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Auxerre played Stade Brestois 29. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 36% to Auxerre, 25% to a draw and 39% to Stade Brestois 29.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Auxerre have a 36% chance of winning. Draw probability is 25%. Stade Brestois 29 have a 39% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.