Coventry vs Brighton prediction
Premier League
Kickoff: 14:00
Final result
Coventry 0–5 Brighton
Prediction published 13 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 13 Sep 2026, 16:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Coventry
J. Eccles Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Kesler-Hayden Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
L. Woolfenden Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
H. Wright Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
J. Eccles Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.2%
K. Kesler-Hayden Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
L. Woolfenden Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
H. Wright Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
Brighton
E. Ferguson Unknown
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
J. Hinshelwood Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.5%
Y. Minteh Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
K. Mitoma Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%
M. Svoboda Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.2%
S. Tzimas Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Wieffer Defender
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 3.4%
Z. Yohanna Attacker
Missing Fixture · Lacking Match Fitness · impact 1.4%
E. Ferguson Unknown
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
J. Hinshelwood Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.5%
Y. Minteh Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
K. Mitoma Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%
M. Svoboda Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.2%
S. Tzimas Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. Wieffer Defender
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 3.4%
Z. Yohanna Attacker
Missing Fixture · Lacking Match Fitness · impact 1.4%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
38% 43%
Draw
24% 23%
Away
38% 34%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 54.4% · edge +7.6 pts · odds 1.75
Won
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 56.7% · edge +6.3 pts · odds 1.64
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Coventry played Brighton. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 38% to Coventry, 24% to a draw and 38% to Brighton.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Coventry have a 38% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. Brighton have a 38% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.