Crystal Palace vs Ipswich prediction
Premier League
Kickoff: 15:00
Final result
Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich
Prediction published 12 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 12 Sep 2026, 17:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Crystal Palace
J. Mateta Attacker
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 2.1%
C. Riad Defender
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 2.2%
I. Sarr Unknown
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 0%
E. Nketiah Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
J. Mateta Attacker
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 2.1%
C. Riad Defender
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 2.2%
I. Sarr Unknown
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 0%
E. Nketiah Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
Ipswich
J. Taylor Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
J. Taylor Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
47% 44%
Draw
21% 21%
Away
32% 35%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 52.1% · edge +20.9 pts · odds 1.84
Won
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 54.7% · edge +17.3 pts · odds 1.7
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Crystal Palace played Ipswich. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 47% to Crystal Palace, 21% to a draw and 32% to Ipswich.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Crystal Palace have a 47% chance of winning. Draw probability is 21%. Ipswich have a 32% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.