Liverpool vs Fulham prediction
Premier League
Kickoff: 15:00
Final result
Liverpool 0–0 Fulham
Prediction published 12 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 12 Sep 2026, 17:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Liverpool
C. Bradley Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
F. Chiesa Unknown
Missing Fixture · Back Injury · impact 0%
H. Ekitike Unknown
Missing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury · impact 0%
G. Leoni Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
C. Gakpo Midfielder
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
J. Gomez Unknown
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
C. Bradley Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
F. Chiesa Unknown
Missing Fixture · Back Injury · impact 0%
H. Ekitike Unknown
Missing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury · impact 0%
G. Leoni Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
C. Gakpo Midfielder
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
J. Gomez Unknown
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
Fulham
T. Cairney Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
T. Cairney Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 55.6% · edge +13.4 pts · odds 1.72
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Liverpool played Fulham. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 59% to Liverpool, 22% to a draw and 19% to Fulham.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Liverpool have a 59% chance of winning. Draw probability is 22%. Fulham have a 19% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.