Fulham vs Manchester United prediction
Premier League
Kickoff: 16:30
Final result
Fulham 1–1 Manchester United
Prediction published 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 20 Sep 2026, 19:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Fulham
T. Cairney Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
K. Tete Defender
Missing Fixture · Concussion · impact 1.5%
R. Sessegnon Midfielder
Questionable · Groin Injury · impact 0%
T. Cairney Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
K. Tete Defender
Missing Fixture · Concussion · impact 1.5%
R. Sessegnon Midfielder
Questionable · Groin Injury · impact 0%
Manchester United
A. Diallo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
T. Heaton Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
M. Ugarte Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. de Ligt Unknown
Missing Fixture · Back Injury · impact 0%
C. Baleba Unknown
Questionable · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
L. Shaw Defender
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
A. Diallo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
T. Heaton Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
M. Ugarte Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
M. de Ligt Unknown
Missing Fixture · Back Injury · impact 0%
C. Baleba Unknown
Questionable · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
L. Shaw Defender
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
40% 40%
Draw
23% 23%
Away
37% 37%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 60.1% · edge +4.9 pts · odds 1.58
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Fulham played Manchester United. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 40% to Fulham, 23% to a draw and 37% to Manchester United.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Fulham have a 40% chance of winning. Draw probability is 23%. Manchester United have a 37% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals.