Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction
La Liga
Kickoff: 17:30
Final result
Getafe 1–1 Deportivo La Coruna
Prediction published 13 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 13 Sep 2026, 20:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Getafe
A. Abqar Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.2%
Juanmi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Kiko Femenia Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 2.7%
Z. Romero Defender
Missing Fixture · Red Card · impact 4.8%
C. Uche Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Francho Midfielder
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
A. Abqar Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.2%
Juanmi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Kiko Femenia Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 2.7%
Z. Romero Defender
Missing Fixture · Red Card · impact 4.8%
C. Uche Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Francho Midfielder
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
Deportivo La Coruna
J. Asp Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.6%
J. Asp Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.6%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
36% 32%
Draw
26% 25%
Away
38% 43%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 39.3% · edge +15.7 pts · odds 2.36
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Getafe played Deportivo La Coruna. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 36% to Getafe, 26% to a draw and 38% to Deportivo La Coruna.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Getafe have a 36% chance of winning. Draw probability is 26%. Deportivo La Coruna have a 38% chance. Frozen selections: BTTS Yes.