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Football

Levante vs Barcelona prediction

Levante
vs
Barcelona

La Liga

Kickoff: 15:15

Final result

Levante 2–4 Barcelona

Prediction published 13 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 13 Sep 2026, 18:00

Published 13 Sep 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 13 Sep 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

Levante 31%
Draw 20%
Barcelona 49%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 3.5 Goals 41%

Confidence Meter

MEDIUM

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 1 week ago

Levante

K. Etta Eyong Attacker

Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.1%

A. Primo Unknown

Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%

K. Etta Eyong Attacker

Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.1%

A. Primo Unknown

Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%

Barcelona

R. Bardghji Unknown

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%

F. de Jong Unknown

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%

R. Bardghji Unknown

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%

F. de Jong Unknown

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

Updated after verified team news

Home

31% 30%

Draw

20% 20%

Away

49% 50%

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

both teams score · verified value edge

BTTS Yes

Market 52.8% · edge +22.2 pts · odds 1.75

75%

Won

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before Levante played Barcelona. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 31% to Levante, 20% to a draw and 49% to Barcelona.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

Levante have a 31% chance of winning. Draw probability is 20%. Barcelona have a 49% chance. Frozen selections: BTTS Yes.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.