Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction
La Liga
Kickoff: 15:15
Final result
Osasuna 0–2 Espanyol
Prediction published 12 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 12 Sep 2026, 18:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Osasuna
M. Gomez Attacker
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 3.9%
J. Herrando Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 3.2%
A. Oroz Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.8%
V. Rosier Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%
M. Gomez Attacker
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 3.9%
J. Herrando Defender
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 3.2%
A. Oroz Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.8%
V. Rosier Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%
Espanyol
K. Garcia Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%
A. Gorosabel Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
J. Puado Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
K. Garcia Unknown
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%
A. Gorosabel Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
J. Puado Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
54% 47%
Draw
25% 28%
Away
21% 25%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
match winner · verified value edge
Home Win
Market 44.3% · edge +9.7 pts · odds 2.15
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Osasuna played Espanyol. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 54% to Osasuna, 25% to a draw and 21% to Espanyol.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Osasuna have a 54% chance of winning. Draw probability is 25%. Espanyol have a 21% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win.