Villarreal vs Real Betis prediction
La Liga
Kickoff: 20:00
Final result
Villarreal 1–2 Real Betis
Prediction published 14 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 14 Sep 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Villarreal
J. Foyth Defender
Missing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury · impact 4.1%
J. Foyth Defender
Missing Fixture · Achilles Tendon Injury · impact 4.1%
Real Betis
D. Llorente Defender
Missing Fixture · Broken nose · impact 2.6%
J. Morante Attacker
Missing Fixture · Coach's decision · impact 1.2%
A. Ruibal Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
D. Llorente Defender
Missing Fixture · Broken nose · impact 2.6%
J. Morante Attacker
Missing Fixture · Coach's decision · impact 1.2%
A. Ruibal Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
38% 38%
Draw
22% 22%
Away
40% 40%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 60% · edge +8 pts · odds 1.59
Won
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 61.6% · edge +6.4 pts · odds 1.51
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Villarreal played Real Betis. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 38% to Villarreal, 22% to a draw and 40% to Real Betis.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Villarreal have a 38% chance of winning. Draw probability is 22%. Real Betis have a 40% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.