Real Betis vs Getafe prediction
La Liga
Kickoff: 18:00
Final result
Real Betis 1–0 Getafe
Prediction published 17 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 17 Sep 2026, 21:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Real Betis
D. Llorente Defender
Missing Fixture · Broken nose · impact 2.3%
J. Morante Attacker
Missing Fixture · Coach's decision · impact 1.2%
A. Ruibal Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
D. Llorente Defender
Missing Fixture · Broken nose · impact 2.3%
J. Morante Attacker
Missing Fixture · Coach's decision · impact 1.2%
A. Ruibal Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Getafe
Juanmi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Kiko Femenia Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 2.4%
C. Uche Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
A. Abqar Defender
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
A. Garcia Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
Juanmi Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Kiko Femenia Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 2.4%
C. Uche Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
A. Abqar Defender
Questionable · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
A. Garcia Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
73% 72%
Draw
20% 20%
Away
7% 8%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
match winner · verified value edge
Home Win
Market 57.2% · edge +15.8 pts · odds 1.67
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Real Betis played Getafe. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 73% to Real Betis, 20% to a draw and 7% to Getafe.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Real Betis have a 73% chance of winning. Draw probability is 20%. Getafe have a 7% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win.