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Football

Levante vs Athletic Club prediction

Levante
vs
Athletic Club

La Liga

Kickoff: 20:30

Final result

Postponed

Prediction published 16 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 16 Sep 2026, 21:00

Published 16 Sep 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 16 Sep 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

Levante 44%
Draw 22%
Athletic Club 34%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 3.5 Goals 52%

Confidence Meter

MEDIUM

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 6 days ago

Levante

K. Etta Eyong Attacker

Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.9%

A. Primo Unknown

Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%

H. Sotelo Midfielder

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 2%

K. Etta Eyong Attacker

Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.9%

A. Primo Unknown

Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%

H. Sotelo Midfielder

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 2%

Athletic Club

P. Canales Midfielder

Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.9%

U. Egiluz Unknown

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%

D. Vivian Unknown

Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%

P. Canales Midfielder

Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.9%

U. Egiluz Unknown

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%

D. Vivian Unknown

Missing Fixture · Hamstring Injury · impact 0%

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

Updated after verified team news

Home

44% 43%

Draw

22% 23%

Away

34% 34%

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

total goals · verified value edge

Over 2.5 Goals

Market 52.2% · edge +17.8 pts · odds 1.83

70%

Void

both teams score · verified value edge

BTTS Yes

Market 56.1% · edge +12.9 pts · odds 1.65

69%

Void

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before Levante played Athletic Club. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 44% to Levante, 22% to a draw and 34% to Athletic Club.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

Levante have a 44% chance of winning. Draw probability is 22%. Athletic Club have a 34% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.