Villarreal vs Levante prediction
La Liga
Kickoff: 17:30
Final result
Villarreal 3–1 Levante
Prediction published 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 20 Sep 2026, 20:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Villarreal
S. Comesana Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 3.7%
J. Foyth Defender
Questionable · Achilles Tendon Injury · impact 0%
S. Comesana Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 3.7%
J. Foyth Defender
Questionable · Achilles Tendon Injury · impact 0%
Levante
K. Etta Eyong Attacker
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.9%
A. Primo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%
H. Sotelo Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 2%
K. Etta Eyong Attacker
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.9%
A. Primo Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shoulder Injury · impact 0%
H. Sotelo Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 2%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
44% 43%
Draw
25% 26%
Away
31% 31%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 56.8% · edge +12.2 pts · odds 1.68
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Villarreal played Levante. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 44% to Villarreal, 25% to a draw and 31% to Levante.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Villarreal have a 44% chance of winning. Draw probability is 25%. Levante have a 31% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.