Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg prediction
Bundesliga
Kickoff: 14:30
Final result
Eintracht Frankfurt 2–2 SC Freiburg
Prediction published 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Sep 2026, 17:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Eintracht Frankfurt
J. Maluze Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 3.9%
J. Ngankam Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
F. Chaibi Midfielder
Questionable · Illness · impact 0%
J. Maluze Defender
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 3.9%
J. Ngankam Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
F. Chaibi Midfielder
Questionable · Illness · impact 0%
SC Freiburg
No verified absences returned.
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
24% 23%
Draw
24% 22%
Away
52% 55%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
match winner · verified value edge
Away Win
Market 35.7% · edge +16.3 pts · odds 2.68
Lost
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 53.2% · edge +13.8 pts · odds 1.8
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Eintracht Frankfurt played SC Freiburg. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 24% to Eintracht Frankfurt, 24% to a draw and 52% to SC Freiburg.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt have a 24% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. SC Freiburg have a 52% chance. Frozen selections: Away Win and Under 3.5 Goals.