Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg prediction
Bundesliga
Kickoff: 14:30
Final result
Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg
Prediction published 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Sep 2026, 17:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Werder Bremen
F. Agu Unknown
Missing Fixture · Calf Injury · impact 0%
M. N'Diaye Defender
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 1.2%
J. Njinmah Attacker
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 2.1%
J. Stage Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
K. Topp Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
S. Lynen Midfielder
Questionable · Hip Injury · impact 0%
F. Agu Unknown
Missing Fixture · Calf Injury · impact 0%
M. N'Diaye Defender
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 1.2%
J. Njinmah Attacker
Missing Fixture · Thigh Injury · impact 2.1%
J. Stage Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
K. Topp Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
S. Lynen Midfielder
Questionable · Hip Injury · impact 0%
FC Augsburg
T. Breithaupt Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
A. Kade Attacker
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.9%
S. Mounie Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
F. Sakar Unknown
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
T. Schnitzer Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.2%
S. Suso Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
T. Breithaupt Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
A. Kade Attacker
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.9%
S. Mounie Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
F. Sakar Unknown
Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%
T. Schnitzer Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 1.2%
S. Suso Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
35% 35%
Draw
23% 24%
Away
42% 41%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
both teams score
BTTS Yes
Won
total goals
Over 2.5 Goals
Won
double chance
Away Win or Draw
Lost
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Werder Bremen played FC Augsburg. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 35% to Werder Bremen, 23% to a draw and 42% to FC Augsburg.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Werder Bremen have a 35% chance of winning. Draw probability is 23%. FC Augsburg have a 42% chance. Frozen selections: BTTS Yes, Over 2.5 Goals and Away Win or Draw.