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Football

FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg prediction

FC Schalke 04
vs
SV Elversberg

Bundesliga

Kickoff: 16:30

Final result

FC Schalke 04 0–0 SV Elversberg

Prediction published 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 20 Sep 2026, 19:00

Published 20 Sep 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 20 Sep 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

FC Schalke 04 36%
Draw 24%
SV Elversberg 40%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 3.5 Goals 64%

Confidence Meter

LOW

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 3 days ago

FC Schalke 04

D. Ljubicic Midfielder

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 3.8%

D. Ljubicic Midfielder

Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 3.8%

SV Elversberg

L. Seifert Unknown

Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%

F. Onyeka Midfielder

Questionable · Injury · impact 0%

L. Schnellbacher Midfielder

Questionable · Illness · impact 0%

T. Zimmerschied Unknown

Questionable · Back Injury · impact 0%

L. Seifert Unknown

Missing Fixture · Ankle Injury · impact 0%

F. Onyeka Midfielder

Questionable · Injury · impact 0%

L. Schnellbacher Midfielder

Questionable · Illness · impact 0%

T. Zimmerschied Unknown

Questionable · Back Injury · impact 0%

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

Updated after verified team news

Home

36% 34%

Draw

24% 25%

Away

40% 41%

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

total goals · verified value edge

Under 3.5 Goals

Market 57.9% · edge +6.1 pts · odds 1.65

64%

Won

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before FC Schalke 04 played SV Elversberg. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 36% to FC Schalke 04, 24% to a draw and 40% to SV Elversberg.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

FC Schalke 04 have a 36% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. SV Elversberg have a 40% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.