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Football

Dinamo Tirana vs Auda prediction

Dinamo Tirana
vs
Auda

UEFA Europa Conference League

Kickoff: 20:00

Final result

Dinamo Tirana 4–0 Auda

Prediction published 13 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 13 Aug 2026, 23:00

Published 13 Aug 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 13 Aug 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

Dinamo Tirana 48%
Draw 24%
Auda 28%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 3.5 Goals 65%

Confidence Meter

MEDIUM

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 1 month ago

Dinamo Tirana

No verified absences returned.

Auda

No verified absences returned.

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

double chance

Home Win or Draw

72%

Won

total goals

Under 3.5 Goals

65%

Lost

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before Dinamo Tirana played Auda. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 48% to Dinamo Tirana, 24% to a draw and 28% to Auda.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

Dinamo Tirana have a 48% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. Auda have a 28% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win or Draw and Under 3.5 Goals.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.