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Football

FC Sion vs FC Noah prediction

FC Sion
vs
FC Noah

UEFA Europa Conference League

Kickoff: 19:15

Final result

FC Sion 2–1 FC Noah

Prediction published 13 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 13 Aug 2026, 22:00

Published 13 Aug 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 13 Aug 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

FC Sion 60%
Draw 22%
FC Noah 18%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 3.5 Goals 67%

Confidence Meter

MEDIUM

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 1 month ago

FC Sion

No verified absences returned.

FC Noah

No verified absences returned.

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

double chance

Home Win or Draw

82%

Won

match winner

Home Win

60%

Won

total goals

Under 3.5 Goals

67%

Won

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before FC Sion played FC Noah. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 60% to FC Sion, 22% to a draw and 18% to FC Noah.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

FC Sion have a 60% chance of winning. Draw probability is 22%. FC Noah have a 18% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win or Draw, Home Win and Under 3.5 Goals.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.