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Football

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA prediction

Hapoel Beer Sheva
vs
Sabah FA

UEFA Champions League

Kickoff: 20:00

Final result

Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–1 Sabah FA

Prediction published 19 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Aug 2026, 22:00

Published 19 Aug 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 19 Aug 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva 47%
Draw 26%
Sabah FA 27%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%

Confidence Meter

MEDIUM

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 1 month ago

Hapoel Beer Sheva

D. Biton Unknown

Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 0%

Joao Victor Unknown

Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%

D. Biton Unknown

Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 0%

Joao Victor Unknown

Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%

Sabah FA

K. Aliyev Unknown

Missing Fixture · Tendon Injury · impact 0%

K. Aliyev Unknown

Missing Fixture · Tendon Injury · impact 0%

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

double chance

Home Win or Draw

73%

Won

total goals

Under 3.5 Goals

73%

Won

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before Hapoel Beer Sheva played Sabah FA. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 47% to Hapoel Beer Sheva, 26% to a draw and 27% to Sabah FA.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

Hapoel Beer Sheva have a 47% chance of winning. Draw probability is 26%. Sabah FA have a 27% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win or Draw and Under 3.5 Goals.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.