Slovan Bratislava vs Celje prediction
UEFA Champions League
Kickoff: 20:00
Final result
Slovan Bratislava 1–1 Celje
Prediction published 19 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Aug 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Slovan Bratislava
M. Kukharevych Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
N. Marcelli Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
A. Sporar Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
M. Kukharevych Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
N. Marcelli Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
A. Sporar Unknown
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%
Celje
L. Bejger Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shin Injury · impact 0%
J. Pisek Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
L. Bejger Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shin Injury · impact 0%
J. Pisek Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 53.1% · edge +5.9 pts · odds 1.77
Lost
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 53.6% · edge +5.4 pts · odds 1.73
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Slovan Bratislava played Celje. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 52% to Slovan Bratislava, 23% to a draw and 25% to Celje.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Slovan Bratislava have a 52% chance of winning. Draw probability is 23%. Celje have a 25% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.