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Football

Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

Sabah FA
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva

UEFA Champions League

Kickoff: 17:45

Final result

Sabah FA 5–2 Hapoel Beer Sheva

Prediction published 25 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 25 Aug 2026, 21:00

Published 25 Aug 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 25 Aug 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

Sabah FA 60%
Draw 23%
Hapoel Beer Sheva 17%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%

Confidence Meter

MEDIUM

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 4 weeks ago

Sabah FA

K. Aliyev Unknown

Missing Fixture · Tendon Injury · impact 0%

K. Aliyev Unknown

Missing Fixture · Tendon Injury · impact 0%

Hapoel Beer Sheva

D. Biton Unknown

Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 0%

Joao Victor Unknown

Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%

D. Biton Unknown

Missing Fixture · Heart Problems · impact 0%

Joao Victor Unknown

Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 0%

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

match winner · verified value edge

Home Win

Market 50.1% · edge +9.9 pts · odds 1.87

60%

Won

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before Sabah FA played Hapoel Beer Sheva. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 60% to Sabah FA, 23% to a draw and 17% to Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

Sabah FA have a 60% chance of winning. Draw probability is 23%. Hapoel Beer Sheva have a 17% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.