Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen prediction
UEFA Champions League
Kickoff: 20:00
Final result
Bodo/Glimt 3–0 NEC Nijmegen
Prediction published 25 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 25 Aug 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Bodo/Glimt
H. Evjen Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
A. Mikkelsen Unknown
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 0%
I. Sjong Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
O. Blomberg Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
M. Bro Hansen Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
J. Gundersen Defender
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
M. Riisnaes Midfielder
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
H. Evjen Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
A. Mikkelsen Unknown
Missing Fixture · Groin Injury · impact 0%
I. Sjong Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
O. Blomberg Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
M. Bro Hansen Attacker
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
J. Gundersen Defender
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
M. Riisnaes Midfielder
Questionable · Injury · impact 0%
NEC Nijmegen
A. Kaplan Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
E. Mor Attacker
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 3.5%
S. Ouaissa Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.5%
P. Sandler Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.6%
P. Schuurs Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
A. Kaplan Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
E. Mor Attacker
Missing Fixture · Inactive · impact 3.5%
S. Ouaissa Midfielder
Missing Fixture · Muscle Injury · impact 2.5%
P. Sandler Defender
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 2.6%
P. Schuurs Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
Updated after verified team news
Home
50% 55%
Draw
24% 24%
Away
26% 21%
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 48.2% · edge +21.8 pts · odds 1.97
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Bodo/Glimt played NEC Nijmegen. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 50% to Bodo/Glimt, 24% to a draw and 26% to NEC Nijmegen.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Bodo/Glimt have a 50% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. NEC Nijmegen have a 26% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.