Celje vs Slovan Bratislava prediction
UEFA Champions League
Kickoff: 20:00
Final result
Celje 1–2 Slovan Bratislava
Prediction published 26 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 26 Aug 2026, 23:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Celje
L. Bejger Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shin Injury · impact 0%
J. Pisek Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
L. Bejger Unknown
Missing Fixture · Shin Injury · impact 0%
J. Pisek Unknown
Missing Fixture · Knee Injury · impact 0%
Slovan Bratislava
M. Kukharevych Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
M. Kukharevych Unknown
Missing Fixture · Injury · impact 0%
Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.
No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Over 2.5 Goals
Market 45.8% · edge +12.2 pts · odds 2.05
Won
both teams score · verified value edge
BTTS Yes
Market 52% · edge +8 pts · odds 1.8
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Celje played Slovan Bratislava. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 45% to Celje, 24% to a draw and 31% to Slovan Bratislava.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Celje have a 45% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. Slovan Bratislava have a 31% chance. Frozen selections: Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes.