Gent vs Hibernian prediction
UEFA Europa Conference League
Kickoff: 19:30
Final result
Gent 0–0 Hibernian
Prediction published 20 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 20 Aug 2026, 22:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Goal Market Predictions
Confidence Meter
Expected Goals Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Gent
No verified absences returned.
Hibernian
No verified absences returned.
Confirmed line-ups have not yet been returned by the provider.
No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total goals · verified value edge
Under 3.5 Goals
Market 72.3% · edge +8.7 pts · odds 1.3
Won
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Gent played Hibernian. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 52% to Gent, 27% to a draw and 21% to Hibernian.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Gent have a 52% chance of winning. Draw probability is 27%. Hibernian have a 21% chance. Frozen selections: Under 3.5 Goals.