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Football

FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia prediction

FC Iberia 1999
vs
Jagiellonia

UEFA Europa League

Kickoff: 17:00

Final result

FC Iberia 1999 1–2 Jagiellonia

Prediction published 27 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 27 Aug 2026, 19:00

Published 27 Aug 2026, 00:00 Frozen model football-poisson-2.3 Odds recorded 27 Aug 2026, 00:00
Historical record: this page preserves the prediction and selections published before kickoff. The final score and grading were added after the event; probabilities and selections were not recalculated retrospectively.

Win Probability

FC Iberia 1999 50%
Draw 24%
Jagiellonia 26%

Win Distribution

Goal Market Predictions

BTTS Yes 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 3.5 Goals 70%

Confidence Meter

MEDIUM

Expected Goals Model

Player Availability & Line-ups

Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.

Checked 3 weeks ago

FC Iberia 1999

No verified absences returned.

Jagiellonia

No verified absences returned.

Confirmed starting line-ups received for both teams.

No verified absence currently requires a probability adjustment.

Final Model Selections

Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.

double chance

Home Win or Draw

74%

Lost

total goals

Under 3.5 Goals

70%

Won

Archive Frozen Match Interpretation

Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation

This page preserves the prediction published before FC Iberia 1999 played Jagiellonia. It is not recalculated after the event.

Where the edge comes from

The frozen model assigned 50% to FC Iberia 1999, 24% to a draw and 26% to Jagiellonia.

Likely game script

The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.

Key analytical factors

  • Published model version: football-poisson-2.3.
  • The probability record was frozen before the event.
  • Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.

How to read the market

Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.

What could invalidate the lean

  • !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
  • !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Data quality: Archived This interpretation uses only the stored pre-event record.

Match Analysis

FC Iberia 1999 have a 50% chance of winning. Draw probability is 24%. Jagiellonia have a 26% chance. Frozen selections: Home Win or Draw and Under 3.5 Goals.

18+ only. Statistical estimates are for information and entertainment, never guaranteed outcomes. If you gamble, set limits and never chase losses.