Atlanta Dream W vs Indiana Fever W prediction
NBA W
Kickoff: 21:00
Final result
Atlanta Dream W 95–91 Indiana Fever W
Prediction published 16 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 17 Aug 2026, 01:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Projected Score
93.5
90.4
184
Confidence Meter
Expected Points Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total points · verified value edge
Under 188.5 points
Market 49.7% · edge +15.8 pts · odds 1.9
Won
moneyline · verified value edge
Home moneyline
Market 55.8% · edge +5.2 pts · odds 1.7
Won
Projected total: 184 points. It is shown as a forecast, not a viable over/under selection, because no current bookmaker line has been supplied for comparison.
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Atlanta Dream W played Indiana Fever W. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 61% to Atlanta Dream W and 39% to Indiana Fever W.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: basketball-rating-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Atlanta Dream W have a 61% chance of winning. Indiana Fever W have a 39% chance. Frozen selections: Under 188.5 points and Home moneyline.