Phoenix Mercury W vs Washington Mystics W prediction
NBA W
Kickoff: 02:00
Final result
Phoenix Mercury W 84–94 Washington Mystics W
Prediction published 26 Aug 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 26 Aug 2026, 05:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Projected Score
87.3
84.9
172
Confidence Meter
Expected Points Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total points · verified value edge
Over 164.5 points
Market 54.5% · edge +20 pts · odds 1.71
Won
Projected total: 172 points. It is shown as a forecast, not a viable over/under selection, because no current bookmaker line has been supplied for comparison.
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Phoenix Mercury W played Washington Mystics W. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 45% to Phoenix Mercury W and 55% to Washington Mystics W.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: basketball-rating-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Phoenix Mercury W have a 45% chance of winning. Washington Mystics W have a 55% chance. Frozen selections: Over 164.5 points.