Atlanta Dream W vs Connecticut Sun W prediction
NBA W
Kickoff: 23:30
Final result
Atlanta Dream W 103–59 Connecticut Sun W
Prediction published 17 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 18 Sep 2026, 03:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Projected Score
93.6
83.5
177
Confidence Meter
Expected Points Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
total points · verified value edge
Over 169.5 points
Market 50% · edge +24.5 pts · odds 1.88
Lost
Projected total: 177 points. It is shown as a forecast, not a viable over/under selection, because no current bookmaker line has been supplied for comparison.
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Atlanta Dream W played Connecticut Sun W. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 91% to Atlanta Dream W and 9% to Connecticut Sun W.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: basketball-rating-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Atlanta Dream W have a 91% chance of winning. Connecticut Sun W have a 9% chance. Frozen selections: Over 169.5 points.