Dallas Wings W vs Phoenix Mercury W prediction
NBA W
Kickoff: 17:00
Final result
Dallas Wings W 87–82 Phoenix Mercury W
Prediction published 19 Sep 2026, 00:00 · evaluated 19 Sep 2026, 21:00
Win Probability
Win Distribution
Projected Score
90.7
81.5
172
Confidence Meter
Expected Points Model
Player Availability & Line-ups
Only verified provider data can change the model. The original forecast remains recorded.
Final Model Selections
Only markets clearing their sport-specific probability threshold are listed. These are model leans, not guarantees or assessments of bookmaker value.
moneyline
Home moneyline lean
Won
Projected total: 172 points. It is shown as a forecast, not a viable over/under selection, because no current bookmaker line has been supplied for comparison.
Archive Frozen Match Interpretation
Frozen pre-event record · archived interpretation
This page preserves the prediction published before Dallas Wings W played Phoenix Mercury W. It is not recalculated after the event.
Where the edge comes from
The frozen model assigned 87% to Dallas Wings W and 13% to Phoenix Mercury W.
Likely game script
The original pre-event probabilities and selections shown on this page are retained exactly for transparent review.
Key analytical factors
- •Published model version: basketball-rating-2.3.
- •The probability record was frozen before the event.
- •Final scores and selection grading are added separately without changing the forecast.
How to read the market
Selections are historical model outputs, not current advice or retrospective picks.
What could invalidate the lean
- !Sports outcomes remain uncertain.
- !Historical performance does not guarantee future results.
Match Analysis
Dallas Wings W have a 87% chance of winning. Phoenix Mercury W have a 13% chance. Frozen selections: Home moneyline lean.